Barney - see Wanderingblade's response (#105) for my reply to the "not long enough" comment.
As for Nostradamus... granted we can't know for sure what is going to happen, but consider this.
Handguns were outlawed to prevent the circulation and prevent them being used in violent crime.
They are now (if you believe those who've said as much in this thread, and you've not disputed what they've said so I assume you do) more widespread in the criminal world than before and being used FAR more in violent crime.
So on the available evidence would you say that the handgun ban has been:
1> A complete success in reducing violent crime with handguns.
2> A marginal success in reducing violent crime with handguns.
3> Completely neutral having had no positive or negative impact on violent crime with handguns.
4> A marginal failure in that we have seen an increase in viloent crime with handguns but one not influenced by the ban.
5> A complete failure in that we have seen an increase in violent crime with handguns brought about by the ban.
Now, 1 and 2 certainly aren't the case.
3 might have been the case, but given the increase in violent crime with handguns we must rule that out too.
That leaves us either with the ban having zero positive effect whatsoever, or actually making things worse.
After over a decade, how much longer do you need to watch violent crime with handguns increase steadily starting from a falling trend pre-ban before you agree that indeed the ban has been a failure.
Once you come to realise that the ban has had no positive impact on the reduction of violent crime with handguns, and served only to alienate, marginalise and in some cases criminalise completely non-violent citizens (including our olympic pistol shooters who have to leave the country to train) you'll see exactly why I, and others object not only to the utterly absurd handgun laws in this country but also to any suggestion that a licencing system or any further restriction on the ownership, use and carry of sharp tools.
History has shown us time and again that such bans are either ineffective or damaging. There's no nostradamus prediction going on here... he looked at the past and said "it will happen again" (he worked on the "history repeats itself" principle) - I (and others) look at history and try to learn from its mistakes.
As for the "people like you" comment - it was meant as a general collective term for people who argue that "if it saves just one life" when every shred of evidence we have from the whole of history is that banning any tool, object (or indeed weapon) to reduce crime fails to achieve it.
The only thing it achieves is, at best, the alienation, criminalisation and marginalisation of everyday citizens.
At worst it achieves the victimisation and sometimes even complete abuse and in worst case massacre of the same.
Those who refuse to learn from history and are intent to follow the same nonsensical and ineffective paths in the name of the utterly fictional "just one life saved" are, in my mind, almost as guilty as the person wielding the murder weapon, as it is exactly that approach which allows those predators who arm themselves in spite of laws and prey on the innocent unchecked.
If you learn from history and put it into practice, you make the predator's job more difficult and remove any possible accusation of complicity.
I'm going to stop here as this is a wide open door for stepping into the whole self defence argument, and that's a door I'm not about to walk through as too many people on this board finr the topic strangely uncomfortable.
Apologies for any offence I might have cause with the "people like you" comment, it was not intended.
I'm not always right, I don't have to be right, I just argue very hard when it's something I care about and have this habit of pouncing on things that sound sensible on the surface but are actually mistaken, misleading and in some cases, downright dangerous and ignorant of history.
Anyway - enough for tonight.
Draven - Thanks for the Jefferson quote. I actually need to get around to reading some of his work - from the scraps I've seen so far it strikes me that he was the kind of politician/leader we are in dire need of today.
Hey Bigshot
I have thought long and hard about what to put forward for consideration in this reply, or even if I should make at all. You and gunslinger, Sorry to drag you into this as well but judging by your username and your earlier posted "full sympathies" with Hot shot you have a vested interest in the Guns debate also. To me the debate over the hand gun bans dont effect me and dont really matter one way or the other, I can see however, that those who participate in a particular aspect of handgun ownwership would be very disappointed at their loss of "rights". The knife debate does affect me and suprisingly my views are still pretty much the same on this subject, shortly I will try to lay out my reasons for thinking this way. Before that, as you have asked me to consider so much I will ask you a thing or two which is the of what you currently think. I fully expect you trot out the results of many well worn arguments from the shooting club. I am joe public(with some knives)
What is a handgun designed for?
Hunting? A poor design if ever there was one, no range as such, no sights in normal usage, no "steady" to speak of.
No Its designed for close quarters combat, easily concealed, generally a large caliber in order that assailants should be stopped as quickly as possible.
I my view the only people who should generally have access to this invention are the military and police. Of course there will always be enthusiasts or ex military and ex police who, as is the want of human beings, refine the use of handguns through participation outside there day to day environment into a sporting spectacle.
I cannot see any other justification for owning one. Wanting one because they exist is not a good enough reason for owning one. IMO. That is my starting point.
But I digress,
"Once you come to realise that the ban has had no positive impact on the reduction of violent crime with handguns, and served only to alienate, marginalise and in some cases criminalise completely non-violent citizens (including our olympic pistol shooters who have to leave the country to train) you'll see exactly why I, and others object not only to the utterly absurd handgun laws in this country but also to any suggestion that a licencing system or any further restriction on the ownership, use and carry of sharp tools."
I do not agree with the first part of your statement as in my opinion the results of the ban are unquantifiable.
"History has shown us time and again that such bans are either ineffective or damaging. There's no Nostradamus prediction going on here... he looked at the past and said "it will happen again" (he worked on the "history repeats itself" principle) - I (and others) look at history and try to learn from its mistakes."
Here you touch on the essence of the problem without appearing to understand it, we are Depending on the time scale that you choose to use( let us use decades for simplicity and average) living at the peak of an exponential curve, everything that we have done historically has failed to prevent us being where we are today as a society.
There are also many individual exponential curves that run throughout.
Deforestation is at its most prolific, medicine is at most ingenious, populations are the largest in human history, greenhouse gasses are accumulating at massive rate. Murders are at their highest, gun use in crime is at a record high.
Corporal punishment did not reduce crime nor did abolition of it, we are still where we are in spite of what we do as a society.
"So on the available evidence would you say that the handgun ban has been:
1> A complete success in reducing violent crime with handguns.
2> A marginal success in reducing violent crime with handguns.
3> Completely neutral having had no positive or negative impact on violent crime with handguns.
4> A marginal failure in that we have seen an increase in violent crime with handguns but one not influenced by the ban.
5> A complete failure in that we have seen an increase in violent crime with handguns brought about by the ban.
Now, 1 and 2 certainly aren't the case.
3 might have been the case, but given the increase in violent crime with handguns we must rule that out too.
That leaves us either with the ban having zero positive effect whatsoever, or actually making things worse.
After over a decade, how much longer do you need to watch violent crime with handguns increase steadily starting from a falling trend pre-ban before you agree that indeed the ban has been a failure."
Your argument is fundamentally flawed, don't forget that everything that we do is on an exponential curve, the only option that society has is to try to slow the rate of acceleration on the exponential curve. Some things will speed up the acceleration to "more of it" for instance wider availability of guns, because availability itself is exponential.
You can never win the debate by stating that X is the result of Y and there has been no improvement because it is impossible to asses with any degree of certainty (Nostradamus) what would have occurred if Y had never took place. Would the figures that you quote have been worse if the measures introduced had not taken place? This is a serious question and one that is sadly lacking for those that just wish to knock any attempt at modifying the rate of the progression along the curve and one that we must consider equally as fully as the"numbers game".
I will ask you another question, How many innocent lives have been saved by the ban of handguns in this country?
I am getting a bit weary, many people just do not have the capacity to understand the complexity of the situation. I would love to give you crack at solving the problems faced, what are your solutions? They appear to be give everyone a gun. Like the good old wild west That Jefferson presided over, its easy to forget that this is the same era as Napoleon was "out and about" and there is no guarantee that the actions sanctioned and endorsed over 200 hundred years ago would be the same in todays day and age. He was to clever for that.
Anyway back to the knife debate