I seem to remember Russia, while amassing troops on the Ukrainian border, and swearing blind, they had absolutely no intention of trying to invade Ukraine, and it was just a normal military practice exersize.
The Olympics were on in China at the time.
I predicted they were waiting for them to finish, so as not to steal china's thunder. A week or so later, they invaded with a special military operation to reclaim Russian territory that had left the Russian Union many years before and become independent.
Do you think we would be regarded as in the right if we invaded any of our old territories to reclaim them on historical terms, after saying we had no intention of doing so, whilst amassing a full blown armed force ot their border?
Put in cannot be trusted, and I know he's full of bluster, but he's calculating. given enough of a push, I wouldn't put it past him to have a wobbly fit, and fire one off to those he feels threatened by.
It would be a realy stupid move, but then humans with a power complex are stupid...they don't listen to wise words, no matter who utters them. Twisted minds are dangerous, as we are now seeing with our present communist overlord in Britain.