I got that,
its just if we are - if even microscopically - affected and a full moon has a stronger pull then who really knows? I can fully agree with you. But at the same having work with kid with behavioral problems I know when there was a full moon then there was always more trouble.
Then like you said that might just be a light thing, and not connected to are water?
Thanks for a well put explanation.
Why would weighing a couple of
microgrammes (not sure of the exact number, as I haven't done the math - but it's definitely
very, very small) less affect your mood or behaviour? There isn't a set of scales in the world precise enough to measure the difference (that I know of). Walking into a tall building probably makes about as much difference.
As for the light, sure, I can see that it's
theoretically plausible - but if it were actually real, why do many, very large studies not find any effect? And why are all the studies which do find an effect either very small or statistically flawed, and why are the effects they claim to find contradictory? The wiki page on the
Lunar effect is pretty good on this subject...
As a general rule, if an effect is real, then it becomes
more noticeable in larger, better designed studies. If your supposed effect only show up in anecdotes and small, badly designed studies, and disappears in large, good studies, then it's almost certainly not real. And if all the small, badly designed studies find
different, mutually exclusive effects, then you can be as certain as anything ever gets...
The fact that you believe in this effect will alter your perceptions of it. If you notice a bad day
and it's a full moon, you chalk that up as a "hit". But do you also count all the "misses" - bad days that aren't a full moon, or full moons that aren't bad days? Don't underestimate the power of
confirmation bias...
And here I go again... I keep telling myself I'm going to stop. I clearly need help!
