Whilst the watch compass method is a general indicator of direction, its accuracy is greatly overstated in the majority of survival texts.
The famous navigator Harold Gatty said of it "it is a great pity to destroy illusions, but in the case of the watch method it is necessary to do so because the apparent simplicity of the method may give a very wrong impression as to its accuracy"
It’s commonly around 30 degrees out, but at the lower latitudes it is possible for this method to be as much as 175 degrees off, that’s almost completely the opposite direction! Even in Europe it can sometimes be as much as 70 degrees out.
It used to be known as 'the Eskimo watch method', because for obvious reasons the one place this method does become feasibly accurate for navigation is within the polar circles.
the reason for this inaccuracy it the assumption that the sun changes its azimuth as a constant 15 degrees per hour (which it doesn’t), the methods inherent error is compounded by the fact that most texts fail to mention that the watch should to be set to solar time and even those texts that do state this, fail to inform the reader how to make such an adjustment, which requires that they know their longitude, the equation of time, the time zone their watch is set to and any daylight savings adjustments that it was using.
In short is a very rough direction indicator