What have you heard about bird flu? We had an emergency management meeting the other day that I found rather chilling.
PG
PG
C_Claycomb said:In the typical European and British way, we won't deal with a problem until it is beating on the door![]()
EdS said:Guess who was supposed to be in an epidemiology exam this morning if the car had not got rear ended on the M62![]()
C_Claycomb said:Very little.
That is either because Americans are much more easily panicked than the people on this side of the Atlantic, Brits in particular,
C_Claycomb said:Pierre, thanks for sharing.
Can someone explain why surgical masks don't offer the wearer any protection?
stovie said:You try getting a Turkey to wear one![]()
C_Claycomb said:..snip..
Americans are much more easily panicked than ... Brits
ilovemybed said:Pierre,
That's pretty heavy stuff. Can I ask why you were briefed in such detail? Are meetings like that happening in every company across the country or are you being briefed because you are close to the "front line" (e.g. health, emergency, logistics, military, etc?)
Cheers,
Neil
C_Claycomb said:Pierre, thanks for sharing.
I think that one of the things that causes a problem for people thinking about "preparedness" over here, when reading the suggestions that come from the US, is that our society is so different.
Having three months of food stockpiled is fine if you live in a fairly typical US subdivision, you have a basement and anything up to 3 acres of land around your home. Its harder when you live in an apartment on the 8th floor, or in a typical UK property crammed in with 11 other dwellings per acre. We don't have coffin size freezers, or space to dig cisterns, or room for hundreds of litres of water.
That being the case, such preparations are a much bigger deal requireing much more of an investment in time and money. It could get lonely when your "back-up system" preparations make you look to your neighbors like you are prepareing for the end of the world.
pierre girard said:Meeting was bleak on several levels. Said when (not if) bird flu mutates gov't estimates half of Americans will get it - half of these will die (much higher estimates than I've heard on news).
It's not possible to predict any of this with any degree of certainty. The above prediction is rather more gloomy than those of the Center for Disease Control, Atlanta, and those of the UK equivalent, the Health Protection Agency. But no-one really knows
H5N1 bird flu is definitely worrying as it can affect people, it can cause severe disease (about 50% mortality of those known to have contracted it in Asia) and it has proven ability to mutate. At the present time human-to-human transmission is extremely rare, but there is a definite possibility it may mutate to allow this and then we will have a very, very serious problem.
Pandemic flu is inevitable, but you can't predict when or what strain will cause it. The 'Spanish flu' H1N1 Pandemic in 1918 killed 40 million world wide and 250 000 in the UK. The current UK pandemic plan assumes 25% of the population will get it and 50 000 will die. As you can imagine, with 25% of workers off sick, there will be a lot of disruption.
'Ordinary' seasonal flu usually kills the old and frail; pandemic flu is often lethal to the young and fit. In 1918 half the deaths were in fit young adults.
Another problem is that pandemic flu comes in two waves - with more infections in the second wave. So just when things seem to be normalising.....
Surgical masks will not stop you getting pandemic flu. They might stop a sufferer from spreading it, a bit.
As PG says, the current 'just-in-time' system of fuel and goods supply is extremely vulnerable to disruption.
As has been mentioned above, panic buying is a well established phenomenon.
Reliable info is at: http://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic/keyfacts.htm
I have to say that I think Pierre's preparations are entirely reasonable.