AFTER almost 10 years of investigation, we now know that wild badgers are not principally to blame for spreading bovine tuberculosis to cattle in Britain. This may not seem to be of much relevance anywhere else, but the badger-TB story is a lesson in how impeccable science can be ignored - in this case, by farmers.
The report, by the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB (ISG), set up in 1998, rubbishes the dogma that has prevailed since TB began appearing on farms in the 1970s. This holds that badgers spread TB to cattle, and exterminating badgers is the only way to halt it. Except that it won't, according to the ISG. Cattle themselves are the major spreaders of TB, and focusing on them, not badgers, will solve the problem. Simply test them more often for TB, using the reliable gamma interferon method, and restrict movement of cattle around the country. That should stop TB in its tracks, says the report.
"The diagnostic systems are inadequate, which results in too many infected, undiagnosed animals remaining in the herd, spreading TB around locally and over long distances," says John Bourne, professor of animal health at the University of Bristol, UK, and chairman of the ISG.
A trial started in 1998 to test what would happen to cattle TB if badgers were killed. In a third of 30 zones of 100 square kilometres where TB was already present, as many badgers as possible were killed each year; in another third, badgers were killed only when there were outbreaks; in the final third, no badgers were killed.
A drop in cattle TB within the culling zones was offset by increases in areas beyond the zone perimeter that were originally free of TB, as infected badgers left the culling zone (New Scientist, 17 December 2005, p 8). "The net effect was that after five years of intense culling, we saved 14 farms from outbreaks, but the economics of it doesn't make any sense," says Bourne.
The cost of culling is 40 times the potential savings, says the report. Reactive culling was of no benefit at all. TB probably first spreads from cattle to badgers, where it remains stable provided the badgers are undisturbed. But start killing them, and they wander around, triggering new cattle infections.
The National Farmers' Union insists that gassing badgers would be more efficient. "If culling remains outlawed, farmers will take the law into their own hands,"