2026 market predictions (and other werewolf related activities)

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HorseGuy

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May 27, 2025
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Here is a 2025 markets round up for last year (percentages calculated in US Dollars).
The biggest winners are at the top, biggest losers at the bottom.

Up 148% > Silver
Up 66% > Gold
Up 41% > Copper
Up 21% > FTSE 100
Up 20% > Nasdaq 100
Up 17% > S&P 500
Down 13% > Bitcoin
Down 20% > Oil

The standout market in this list for me is not silver as you would probably expect me to say but oil. I mean what on Earth is oil doing all the way down at just $61? That’s crazy considering the geopolitical tensions at the moment, the recent spate of oil tanker hijackings and two of the worlds biggest oil producers, Iran and Venezuela looking likely to get bombed sometime this year. In that kind of environment oil should be rapidly moving upwards not steadily going down. By any sane semblance of reason and logic the price of oil should be at least two to three times higher by now.

Anyway I digress. 2025 was certainly an interesting and unusual year for investing and 2026 looks set to get even weirder. We’re in the early stages of a long commodities bull market cycle so my easy prediction for 2026 is that the metals and other rare Earths will all continue to do well for the foreseeable. I’m not just talking about gold and silver either but all of the other industrial metals look like a good option for the next few years. Copper in particular looks like it could be the big standout trade of 2026 and once I’ve done a little more research into it I may take a sizeable punt on copper myself soon.

Regarding the main stock-markets, I think they’re a definite no go for the time being. I predict that 2026 will see the beginning of a big downturn for the stock-markets. Not necessary anything dramatic like a massive sudden overnight crash (although that is a distinct possibility too) but most likely we'll see the beginning of a long drawn-out bear market which will drag on for several years. As for oil? Well who knows? Obviously I think it should be much higher than it currently is and ultimately I think that one day it will go much higher too. But whether that actually happens during 2026 or later on I wouldn’t like to hazard a guess. It’s behaving irrationally at the moment and as the saying goes “The markets can remain irrational for longer than you can remain solvent.” Or something like that.

So as the thread title above says; does anyone else here fancy having a go at making a few market predictions of their own for 2026 and then in twelve months time we’ll come back and see how everyone did? There are plenty of options which I haven’t mentioned too which you could comment on such as BRICs, crypto currencies or government bonds (Japan’s 30 year anyone?) So go on, why not have a go? It’ll be fun. What do you think 2026 will bring for the markets?

My big prediction for 2026?
$250 spot silver by year end.

EDIT - Thread title changed to better suit the direction of conversation this thread has taken. :D
 
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Or - it could be that we 'may' be on the cusp of a financial reset - Historically there has always been a ratio between Gold and Silver , X units of one can purchase X units of the other.
As Gold has increased in value substantially - or rather you need more units of Fiat printed currency to exchange - its possible Silver can be seen as a lagging 'good bet' as either Gold is over valued and Silver Undervalued or vice versa.


Silver is used massively now in modern 1st world industry , its was identified by the US Geology dept as the as the first element to effectively become extinct from usage but not reclamation well over a decade ago.

Recently it was put on a USA list of critical minerals and resources.

  • Silver, used in electrical circuits, batteries, solar cells, and anti-bacterial medical instruments 


There is also a fair amount of long established future financial positions based around Silver by certain entities and that is I suspect adding too a lot of behind the curtain shenanigans.

Its a pretty big subject - Think Horseguy has done a decent extensive explanation elsewhere.
 
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It is a worry though, the cost of making up a decent silver bullet. I know they've been extinct in the UK for decades but, along with things like beavers, people illegally import them and 'rewild' areas. OK in somewhere like Portsmouth but it becomes an issue when they spread into the wider environment.

If a Werewolf was released in Portsmouth I'd want it to have some protection. :)


( Just a joke - Portsmouth , lovely place. )
 
I just read that you can also kill a werewolf by decapitation. I think that may become the go to method as buying a bullet made from silver could soon be a financial impossibility.
ps it also said you can kill them by inflicting severe physical trauma. It didn't expand on that so what constitutes severe is anyone's guess. DD xxx
pps it also said you can use a silver bullet against vampires too. x

ref wiki silver bullet
 
I just read that you can also kill a werewolf by decapitation.
Are you sure, I thought that was vampires? You need a backup plan with them as I expect there'll be a 2026 consultation on banning pointed sticks, with no thought about the surge in vampires.

There are other options, of course, but I'll not mention them in case this post gets moved to 'fair game'
 
What's driving the love affair with silver?
Basic supply and demand economics.

The mined output of silver has been steadily decreasing for several years while industrial demand has been steadily increasing for several years which has caused a supply deficit. This has led to the above ground stockpiles of silver to have all but run out. There is literally no physical silver left and manufacturers of electronics, solar panels and batteries (for which silver is essential) know that they will not be able to continue making products without it.
 
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People on YouTube profiting off of saying the world is about to collapse and that only silver can save you (gold is too expensive to be able to sell this so easily to the majority now).

How did you see Bitcoin when it was in its infancy?
 
How did you see Bitcoin when it was in its infancy?

Same as I do now, really - a techbro pyramid scheme/gamble with no inherent value. Not really something I put in the same bucket as silver and gold, though - both of which do have value, but not the value the YouTube grifters are selling to people by exploiting their worries of a global collapse.

Though that’s just my opinion, of course. People should do with their money what they please and I wouldn’t want to make any financial recommendations to anyone.
 
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I find silver a more interesting case because historically it's been up and down like a yoyo where gold generally goes up and barely goes down, like a ratchet. Years ago I assumed that silver should be going up due to the afforementioned industrial applications but it carried on like a yoyo until recently.
 
I take Chris point about digital street preachers bull horning and shilling for a potential profit.

However - since the 2008 GFC - I don't think one can ignore the actions taken by a broad range of central banks regarding the main Precious metal being stored and where it was repatriated to.


If one considers that there always has been a GSR -Gold Silver Ratio , and one has top consider that if such a ratio exists - how does one view the potential for movement at either end ? Either Gold is over valued and will revert dowwards (?) or Silver is undervalued and will rise to Match (?)

I also don't think one can ignore that there is certainly a change afoot that is challenging the current established status quo held by the $ and its position as a stable reserve currency , although its under a fair amount of scrutiny and underconfidence - If BRICs' gets its way and can challenge that further there certainly will be an option for a major financial divergence.


If none of this seems applicable to the man on the street - I guess it won't feel relative and will be seen with some level of assumed paranoia or snake oil salesmanship.
I don't think we will be able to avoid some sort of central backed fiat currency along with a digital ID scheme

- Gold and Silver are indeed barborous relics but Banks and the Bankers still seem to hoard them.
 
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Personaly, I've invested in a couple of merino wool jumpers,
Me too. :)

I've been loving this cold snap now that I own some merino wool leggins and base-layer jumpers to wear under my regular clothes. They're the best investments I've made in a long time.
 
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I also don't think one can ignore that there is certainly a change afoot that is challenging the current established status quo held by the $ and its position as a stable reserve currency , although its under a fair amount of scrutiny and underconfidence - If BRICs' gets its way and can challenge that further there certainly will be an option for a major financial divergence.
Would you care to make any 2026 predictions regarding BRICs?
Or do you think the US Dollar will still be the dominant global reserve currency by the end of 2026?
 
Would you care to make any 2026 predictions regarding BRICs?
Or do you think the US Dollar will still be the dominant global reserve currency by the end of 2026?
I could make a prediction about Werewolves if you like??

< I'll give it some thought and get back to you - just need to thrown some rune bones >
 
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Are you sure, I thought that was vampires? You need a backup plan with them as I expect there'll be a 2026 consultation on banning pointed sticks, with no thought about the surge in vampires.

There are other options, of course, but I'll not mention them in case this post gets moved to 'fair game'
yes I am certain . here is a wiki how. How to kill a werewolf
It is second most popular method and the cheapest. DD xxxx
 

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